A discrete choice model based on random utilities for exit choice in emergency evacuations

Abstract

This work presents a behavioural model based on discrete choice models (DCMs) in order to simulate decision maker behaviour during an emergency situation. The proposed model is a probabilistic exit choice model that allows understanding the heterogeneity of the different decision maker’s tastes. A stated preference survey was designed and realized with a sample of decision makers in order to achieve this objective. Thus, the obtained data was used to model the optimal mixed logit model. The use of DCMs allows to know the behaviour of different decision maker types during an evacuation process. The case study highlights the importance of the influence of other decision makers on the decision-making process. This work could be used as the starting point in the development of behavioural models which could be implemented in the current tools for the simulation of emergency evacuation.


Autore Pugliese

Tutti gli autori

  • Lovreglio, Ruggiero , Borri, Dino , Dell'Olio, Luigi , Ibeas, Angel

Titolo volume/Rivista

SAFETY SCIENCE


Anno di pubblicazione

2014

ISSN

0925-7535

ISBN

Non Disponibile


Numero di citazioni Wos

Nessuna citazione

Ultimo Aggiornamento Citazioni

Non Disponibile


Numero di citazioni Scopus

24

Ultimo Aggiornamento Citazioni

2017-04-22 03:20:59


Settori ERC

Non Disponibile

Codici ASJC

Non Disponibile