Landslide hazard assessment and judgment of reliability: a geomechanical approach
Abstract
Landslide hazard maps are often defined as reliable a posteriori, in accordance with the real landslides occurring from the time of the map production. However, to be useful for planning, a reliability judgment concerning the hazard mapping should be a priori, based on data uncertainty characterization, and must be driven by the knowledge of the slope instability mechanisms. The landslide hazard assessment, when based on the deterministic diagnosis of the processes, may really lead to really providing clues about how and why the slope could fail (landslide susceptibility) and, possibly, when (landslide hazard). Such deterministic assessment can be pursued only through the interpretation and the geo-hydro-mechanical modelling of the slope equilibrium. In practice, though, the landslide hazard assessment is still seldom dealt with slope modelling, in particular when it addresses intermediate to regional zoning. The paper firstly offers an overview of the key steps of a methodology called the multiscalar method for landslide mitigation, MMLM, which that is a methodological approach for the intermediate to regional landslide hazard assessment using the hydro-mechanical diagnoses of landsliding. The validation of the MMLM to the geologically complex outer sectors of the Southern Apennines (Daunia-Lucanian mountains; Italy) is also delineated, together with a practical approach to incorporate a reliability judgment in the landslide susceptibility/hazard mapping.
Autore Pugliese
Tutti gli autori
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Cafaro F.; Cotecchia F.; Santaloia F.; Vitone C.; Lollino P.; Mitaritonna G.
Titolo volume/Rivista
Bulletin of engineering geology and the environment
Anno di pubblicazione
2016
ISSN
1435-9529
ISBN
Non Disponibile
Numero di citazioni Wos
Nessuna citazione
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Numero di citazioni Scopus
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Settori ERC
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Codici ASJC
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