Influence of land-use change and precipitation patterns on landslide activity in the Daunia Apennines, Italy

Abstract

The historical variations in landslide activity are investigated in the Rocchetta S. Antonioterritory, where sown fields cover 75% of the total area. The perception of the inhabitants is thatlandsliding has increased in recent years, and climate change has been invoked as a case. However,since 1865 annual precipitation has decreased c. 8% per century in southeastern Italy and local rainfalldata for the 1955-2008 period show high inter-annual variability with statistically uncertain trends. In thesame decades human alterations to the local environment were considerable. To demonstrate theimpacts of land-use changes, detailed landslide and land-use maps spanning the 1976-2006 periodhave been constructed and the spatial-temporal changes in the context of the local precipitationpatterns have been analysed. It is shown that the frequency of landsliding in 2006 was 160% higherthan in 1976, even though both years were comparably wet. The sown fields increased by 46% from1976 to 2006, and the landslide density was 55% higher on the new sown fields; that is, those cultivatedafter 1976. Thus, the higher susceptibility to landsliding is linked to the land-use changes and especiallyto the new ploughing for EU-sponsored wheat cultivation that has taken place on the steeper slopes.


Tutti gli autori

  • Wasowski J.; Lamanna C.; Casarano D.

Titolo volume/Rivista

Quarterly journal of engineering geology and hydrogeology


Anno di pubblicazione

2010

ISSN

1470-9236

ISBN

Non Disponibile


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