Multivariate statistical modelling of future marine storms
Abstract
Extreme events, such as wave-storms, need to be characterized for coastal infrastructure design purposes. Such description should contain information on both the univariate behaviour and the joint-dependence of storm-variables. These two aspects have been here addressed through generalized Pareto distributions and hierarchical Archimedean copulas. A non-stationary model has been used to highlight the relationship between these extreme events and non-stationary climate. It has been applied to a Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 Climate-Change scenario, for a fetch-limited environment (Catalan Coast). In the non-stationary model, all considered variables decrease in time, except for storm-duration at the northern part of the Catalan Coast. The joint distribution of storm variables presents cyclical fluctuations, with a stronger influence of climate dynamics than of climate itself.
Autore Pugliese
Tutti gli autori
-
Lin-Ye J. , García-León M. , Gràcia V. , Ortego M.I. , Lionello P. , Sánchez-Arcilla A.
Titolo volume/Rivista
APPLIED OCEAN RESEARCH
Anno di pubblicazione
2017
ISSN
0141-1187
ISBN
Non Disponibile
Numero di citazioni Wos
Nessuna citazione
Ultimo Aggiornamento Citazioni
Non Disponibile
Numero di citazioni Scopus
Non Disponibile
Ultimo Aggiornamento Citazioni
Non Disponibile
Settori ERC
Non Disponibile
Codici ASJC
Non Disponibile
Condividi questo sito sui social